US Open 2025 ATP Preview
On the ATP side of things, the US Open promises plenty of intrigue. For the last two years, only two men have hoisted slam trophies, that of course being the world No. 1 and 2, Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz.
Let’s start with the two biggest contenders, and then make our way to some of the dark horses. Check out our WTA predictions linked here.
Can anyone stop Jannik Sinner?
The world No. 1 has looked almost untouchable on hard courts for the last two years. Sinner has been perfect on hard courts this year, yet to lose a match on the surface and only losing three matches all year long so far. Granted, his season was cut short three months compared to the rest of the tour due to a suspension, but nonetheless, his 90 percent win rate on the season is well above the rest of the tour, save for one other player.
Enter Carlos Alcaraz, whose losses on the year are double that of Sinner’s, but his winning percentage sits right behind the world No. 1 at 89%. These two are surely the biggest contenders for the title, and fans are no doubt salivating for another slam final to complete a trilogy of highly entertaining blockbuster finals at both the French and Wimbledon. Alcaraz won the French Open in an instant classic, with his three consecutive championship point saves already etched in tennis history. Wimbledon was another story, however, where Sinner proved too strong, too consistent and too precise for Alcaraz’s jaw-dropping play. Regardless, whenever these two play, the real winner is the sport itself. A must-try frame, Alcaraz dazzles with his endorsed Pure Aero 98.
Others to Watch in the Top 10
Just how many more slams will we get to see Djokovic play? It appears that time has finally started to dig its claws into the winningest men’s player historically, with Djokovic failing to make a slam final for the first time coming into the US Open since 2017 and only the second time not doing so other than 2009 after winning his first major in 2008. Regardless, the fact that we still get to watch Djokovic at all is a treat in of itself, and as the last active member of the Big 3, Djokovic’s continued participation at major tournaments extends the narrative surrounding the most dominant sporting dynasty in history. Get his signature Lacoste collection for this fall here.
Khachanov, one of the more consistent performers at the slam level for the last few years, has been playing out of his mind this summer, perhaps bolstered by a mysterious new blacked-out Wilson racquet seen in his hands. A run to the final in Toronto saw multiple top 30 wins before falling to Ben Shelton in the final. Look for Khachanov to bounce back after back-to-back first round losses in each of the last two editions of the US Open.
Playing with newfound resilience and aggression, de Minaur has described his game as “peaking” of late, meaning he’s in full confidence heading into the last slam of the year. Having never advanced past the quarterfinal stage at a major, look for the “Speed Demon” to perhaps make that elusive jump. Get his endorsed frame with the Wilson Ultra 99 Pro.
Home Hopes in the Top 20
Last year’s US Open finalist Taylor Fritz has had a so-so 2025 season, with two ATP 250 titles in Stuttgart and Eastbourne on the grass but failing to make any other finals not on grass. Although he will undoubtedly be bolstered by his home crowd support and the pressure to defend points from his run last year, it will be interesting to see how Fritz responds to the bigger moments. Should a good draw befall him, look for another deep run from Fritz. Shop his signature Palm Tree Collection.
Coming into the US Open, Shelton has exited the first three slams of the year after losing to the eventual winner each time in Sinner, Alcaraz and then Sinner again. The American’s game has started to expand in terms of his shot tolerance and consistency, and the constant threat of his serve poses a problem to anybody. Perhaps most impressively, his return game and defense with his Yonex EZONE 98 has been stellar over the course of this summer swing so far, propelling him to his first Masters 1000 title in Toronto over Karen Khachanov. Look for Shelton to shine brightest in New York when backed by a raucous home crowd.
Since the French Open, Tommy Paul has had a largely unremarkable season, partially marred by an injury that prevented him from playing the full hard court summer swing leading into the US Open. Paul’s best trait is his movement and rally tolerance, so look for him to wear down his opponents with unwavering consistency. Hopefully, Paul is injury free and feeling fresh enough to entertain his home crowd.
After a heartbreaking loss to compatriot Taylor Fritz in the semis of the US Open last year, Tiafoe has posted strong results in 2025, highlighted by a quarterfinal run at the French Open. Having made the fourth round or better each year since 2019, look for Tiafoe to draw on his home support once more to hopefully go deep at his best slam record-wise. Check out his shoes of choice, the KSwiss Ultrashot 4!
Learner Tien
Though a bit overshadowed a bit by other blooming young stars on tour, Tien has quietly put up incredible numbers on the year, with multiple top 20 victories, including against Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev, Andrey Rublev, and Shelton. The young lefty possesses a wicked all-court game and a devastatingly heavy forehand, making him a formidable opponent that no seeds wants to see in their section of the draw. Look for Learner to potentially break out in a big way this US Open.
Gabriel Diallo
The big-serving Canadian has made some impressive strides this year, notching wins over Ugo Humbert and Karen Khachanov en route to his first ATP title in 's-Hertogenbosch at the Libema Open. If Diallo can improve his consistency, look for him to make massive moves at the top of the men’s game.
